Coinciding with the United Nations Climate Change Convention held in Cancun last month, the non-profit organization, Development Assistance Research Associates (DARA) released the first definitive study measuring the impact of climate change on global health and human development. The Climate Vulnerability Monitor (CVM) predicts that climate change could contribute to as many as 5 million deaths by the year 2020. The CVM also suggests that if global warming isn’t slowed an additional million will die every year by 2030.
DARA’s study accumulates leading research on climate change in order to give a global assessment of its effects. The CVM demonstrated that global climate change impacts human development in 4 different ways health, habitat loss, weather disasters, and economic stress. In terms of human health, climate change has strongly affected the spread of life-threatening, climate-sensitive diseases like diarrhea and malaria. The rise in sea level and the effects of desertification have contributed to habitat loss, while weather disasters like hurricanes and flooding have directly caused the loss of many human lives. Economic stresses, like the loss of agricultural productivity resulting from droughts, were another climate impact that the CVM measured and accounted for. The study showed that almost every single country is vulnerable to the effects of at least one identified impact.
Asian and Sub-Saharan African countries are by far the worst affected, and women and children are the groups most vulnerable. The study reported that 80% of climate-related deaths are exclusively children living in either of these areas, and 99% of mortalities occur in developing countries. The CVM estimated that at the current rate, climate change contributes to some 350,000 deaths each year. In addition to estimates of human loss, the CVM estimates that climate change costs the global economy about 150 billion dollars. What’s more, half of this economic loss has occurred in industrialized countries.
Based in Madrid, Spain, DARA is an organization that works to improve the quality and effectiveness of aid given to the world’s most vulnerable populations that are effected by climate change, armed conflict, and other disasters. In preparing and funding the study, DARA worked in tandem with the Climate Vulnerable Forum, a global partnership founded by the president of the Maldives, Mohamed Nasheed, which brings together the countries most adversely affected by climate change. The countries included in the partnership are Bangladesh, Barbados, Bhutan, Ghana, Rwanda, Tanzania, Vietnam, the Maldives, Kenya, Kiribati, and Nepal.
The purpose of the DARA/Climate Vulnerable Forum study was to demonstrate the alarming effects of human-induced climate change such that policy-makers around the world will be more committed to urgent change. The study also included a set of 50 suggested changes that can be implemented cost-effectively in order to stem the rising tide of climate-related human loss. The entire study, including findings, country profiles, methodology, and recommendations, can be viewed in PDF format here.
This guest post is contributed by Alisa Gilbert. She welcomes your comments at: alisagilbert599@gmail.com.